A while back we did a post speculating that requesting argument on a motion moderately increased the chances of the Court actually holding argument on an issue.
We also speculated about several other effects of requesting argument, but I'll save those for another slow news day. I apologize for nothing.
Stone Cold Facts
To test out this theory, I picked a motion that I pegged at about a 50/50 chance of having an argument -- a motion to stay. Taking all of the decisions deciding such motions since the first of the year (and removing some in odd procedural circumstances as well as filtering out identical motions in related cases to clean up …